Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.305242 0.344692 0.389326 0.443988 0.509706 0.586925 0.685649
2025-02-02 0.262965 0.319946 0.391623 0.490529 0.627017 0.814479 1.102493
2025-02-09 0.231029 0.296167 0.384603 0.518222 0.724360 1.048667 1.642379
2025-02-16 0.206819 0.275758 0.374998 0.536235 0.809464 1.295009 2.350231
2025-02-23 0.184935 0.253940 0.357802 0.536461 0.863429 1.509139 3.158239
2025-03-02 0.161241 0.225659 0.325484 0.503901 0.848283 1.582309 3.707155
2025-03-09 0.146124 0.208359 0.307631 0.492058 0.868260 1.738851 4.650119
2025-03-16 0.134176 0.194522 0.293301 0.483404 0.891757 1.915480 5.896254
2025-03-23 0.126688 0.186942 0.288358 0.491230 0.953122 2.225077 8.220846
2025-03-30 0.115859 0.172732 0.270032 0.469206 0.939035 2.311935 9.693776
2025-04-06 0.106944 0.160963 0.254793 0.451063 0.929970 2.413335 11.568697
2025-04-13 0.099139 0.150462 0.240802 0.433433 0.918012 2.502105 13.708385
2025-04-20 0.097103 0.150113 0.246238 0.460322 1.038402 3.192548 25.345910
2025-04-27 0.097173 0.153564 0.259559 0.508684 1.245545 4.537620 70.082371
2025-05-04 0.094970 0.152648 0.264132 0.537649 1.410162 6.000303 217.397399
2025-05-11 0.091968 0.149926 0.264617 0.556558 1.552490 7.680296 1011.077756
2025-05-18 0.087704 0.144408 0.258512 0.556787 1.626342 9.079005 8368.601523
2025-05-25 0.081193 0.134064 0.240964 0.522546 1.547002 8.959209 24221.051397
2025-06-01 0.076875 0.127733 0.231654 0.510102 1.556986 9.826295 NaN
2025-06-08 0.073169 0.122354 0.223952 0.501013 1.579201 10.955497 NaN
2025-06-15 0.070951 0.119773 0.222256 0.509232 1.686658 13.662561 NaN
2025-06-22 0.066848 0.113141 0.210750 0.486107 1.632946 13.854890 NaN
2025-06-29 0.063294 0.107439 0.200983 0.467071 1.594283 14.273938 NaN